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Weibull分布 2

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Availability of wind energy resource potential for power generation at Jos, Nigeria

O. O. Ajayi, R. O. Fagbenle, J. Katende, J. O. Okeniyi

《能源前沿（英文）》 2011年第5卷第4期页码 376-385 doi: 10.1007/s11708-011-0167-5

摘要： The objective of this study was to assess the potential viability of the wind resource potential in Jos, Plateau state, Nigeria for power generation. The monthly mean wind speeds that span from 1987 to 2007 were employed to statistically analyze the monthly, annual and seasonal potentials of the wind energy resources at the site. Besides, the results were employed together with two models of wind energy conversion system to simulate the likely average output power. The outcome showed that Jos was suitable as a site for wind farm projects of varying sizes and that MW·h to GW·h of electricity is likely to be produced per period of months, seasons and years. The average wind speed range at the site was also estimated to be between 6.7 and 11.8 m/s across the months, years and seasons.

关键词： green electricity renewable resources Weibull statistics Jos Nigeria

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一类基于改进Weibull分布模型的电力电缆寿命评估方法

张铁岩,王承民,孙秋野,张化光

《中国工程科学》 2008年第10卷第10期页码 42-46

摘要：

对电缆的剩余寿命进行评估是电缆寿命管理的关键环节，以往电缆寿命评估的方法中有Arrhenius方法和Weibull分布模型。对这两种方法分别进行分析，特别是确定Arrhenius模型中激活能的计算，以及应用Weibull分布模型对电缆寿命进行评估。

关键词：电缆寿命评估 Arrhenius模型 Weibull分布

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一种改进的Weibull分布杂波仿真方法

姜斌,和湘,黎湘,王宏强,郭桂蓉

《中国工程科学》 2007年第9卷第1期页码 44-48

摘要：

针对目前Weibull分布杂波仿真中没有考虑线性滤波器物理可实现性问题，首先深入研究了该杂波模型的统计特性及其ZMNL仿真方法；在此基础上，引入最小相位特性与复倒谱技术，提出了一种物理可实现的滤波器产生方法，同时详细阐述了物理可实现Weibull分布杂波随机序列产生的流程；最后，进行了仿真实验，仿真结果证明了该方法的准确性和有效性。

关键词： Weibull分布杂波 ZMNL 复倒谱物理可实现线性滤波器仿真

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基于MCMC稳态模拟的Weibull共享异质性模型及其可靠性应用

林静,韩玉启,朱慧明

《中国工程科学》 2006年第8卷第2期页码 55-60

摘要：

针对传统假设中个体寿命独立同分布的不足，构建了贝叶斯Weibull共享异质性模型，提出了对寿命服从Weibull分布的产品，运用基于Gibbs抽样的马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗（Markov chain MonteCarlo，MCMC）方法动态模拟出参数后验分布的马尔可夫链，在异质性因子的先验分布为Gamma分布时，给出随机截尾条件下，参数在Weibull共享异质性模型中的贝叶斯估计，提高了计算的精度。

关键词：贝叶斯分析可靠性 MCMC模拟 Gibbs抽样 Weibull分布共享异质性模型

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Assessment of wind energy potential in Gaza Strip

Juma Yousuf ALAYDI

《能源前沿（英文）》 2011年第5卷第3期页码 297-304 doi: 10.1007/s11708-010-0134-6

摘要： The analysis of collected wind data at two sites in the Gaza Strip, namely, Gaza City and Gaza International Airport in Rafah city, is presented. The two sites are candidates for remote area wind energy applications. The purpose of this paper is to present the results of the assessment of wind energy potential in the Gaza Strip in order to evaluate the wind regimes for installing wind energy conversion systems for power generation. The data on wind speed, direction and frequency distribution are used to analyze wind energy characteristics and availability at some stations in the Gaza Strip. The vertical extrapolation was based on the power-law expression, and the wind energy and potential have been estimated at the wind turbine hub height of approximately 50 m. Furthermore, the values of the Weibull parameters and are determined from summary statistics of wind resource. Consequently, the wind power is estimated by adoption of the Weibull distribution expression. Based on the results of this paper, sites are recommended for wind energy exploitation in the Gaza Strip.

关键词： wind data wind resource assessment wind power density wind energy the Weibull distribution and Weibull parameters

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An emerging market for groundwater remediation in China: Policies, statistics, and future outlook

Deyi Hou, Guanghe Li, Paul Nathanail

《环境科学与工程前沿（英文）》 2018年第12卷第1期 doi: 10.1007/s11783-018-1027-x

摘要： There is a rapidly emerging and potentially huge market for the remediation of contaminated groundwater in China. The Chinese government published a Water Action Plan in April 2015, a Soil Action Plan in May 2016, and a draft Soil Pollution Prevention and Control Law in June 2017. All of these new policies and regulations put pressures on local governments and contaminated site owners, obliging them to conduct site investigation and to cleanup contaminated groundwater. The Chinese population in northern regions heavily depend on groundwater, with nearly 70% of water supply coming from aquifer sources in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region. However, poor groundwater quality due to natural geochemical background and anthropogeic pollution is a serious concern, with poor or very poor quality water observed in nearly 80% of groundwater monitoring wells in 17 northern provinces. Shallow groundwater in many areas has been contaminated by toxic pollutants such as heavy metals and chlorinated organic compounds. There is an urgent need to better understand the situation and to conduct groundwater remediation at contaminated sites. The Chinese government is investing heavily in the research and development for groundwater remediation, which is expected to greatly add to the quality and quantity of groundwater remediation projects in the near future.

关键词： Groundwater pollution Contaminated land Groundwater remediation Emerging market

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Anovel approach of noise statistics estimate using H∞ filter in target tracking

Xie WANG,Mei-qin LIU,Zhen FAN,Sen-lin ZHANG

《信息与电子工程前沿（英文）》 2016年第17卷第5期页码 449-457 doi: 10.1631/FITEE.1500262

摘要： Noise statistics are essential for estimation performance. In practical situations, however, a priori information of noise statistics is often imperfect. Previous work on noise statistics identification in linear systems still requires initial prior knowledge of the noise. A novel approach is presented in this paper to solve this paradox. First, we apply the H∞ filter to obtain the system state estimates without the common assumptions about the noise in conventional adaptive filters. Then by applying state estimates obtained from the H∞ filter, better estimates of the noise mean and covariance can be achieved, which can improve the performance of estimation. The proposed approach makes the best use of the system knowledge without a priori information with modest computation cost, which makes it possible to be applied online. Finally, numerical examples are presented to show the efficiency of this approach.

关键词： Noise estimate H∞ filter Target tracking

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模糊综合评判与数理统计知识结合的目标识别效果评估

李彦鹏,黎湘,王宏强,庄钊文

《中国工程科学》 2005年第7卷第3期页码 64-68

摘要：

针对目标识别效果评估，利用数理统计知识确立了评估指标及测度方法。随后，使用模糊综合评判建立了一种开放的评估模型，该模型可以给出客观的、定量化的评估结果。最后，结合实测数据完成了仿真。

关键词：数理统计模糊综合评判目标识别效果评估

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An investigation on patient dose in screen-film diagnostic radiology in Lhasa City, Xizang Autonomous Region, China

null

《医学前沿（英文）》 2013年第7卷第4期页码 506-509 doi: 10.1007/s11684-013-0294-y

摘要：

This study aimed to investigate patient dose in diagnostic screen-film radiographic examinations in the city of Lhasa, China. Seven out of the twenty-six hospitals registered with the Lhasa Health Bureau were included in the investigation. The entrance surface air Kerma (ESAK) of seven conventional screen-film radiology X-ray equipment in these hospitals was measured with a QA dosimeter in September 2012. The X-ray examinations were divided into three categories: PA (posterior-anterior) chest, upper/lower limb, and AP (anterior-posterior) lumbar spine. For each category, ESAKs were calculated and analyzed. The mean ESAK was 0.6 mGy for PA chest, 0.3 mGy for upper/lower limb, and 1.8 mGy for AP lumbar spine. In addition, the mean ESAK value recorded for PA chest X-ray examinations exceeded the corresponding value recommended by the International Atomic Energy Agency (0.4 mGy).

关键词： radiation dosage radiology radiation protection radiography/statistics & numerical data

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Probabilistic model for vessel-bridge collisions in the Three Gorges Reservoir

Bo GENG , Hong WANG , Junjie WANG ,

《结构与土木工程前沿（英文）》 2009年第3卷第3期页码 279-285 doi: 10.1007/s11709-009-0044-z

摘要： Based on a field observation on vessel transit path of three bridges over the Yangtze River in the Three Gorges Reservoir, and an analysis of the geometric probabilistic model of transiting vessels in collision probability calculation, the aberrancy angle and vessel velocity probabilistic model related with impact force, a probabilistic model is established and also verified by goodness-of-fit test. The vessel transit path distribution can be expressed by the normal distribution model. For the Three Gorges Reservoir, the mean and standard deviation adopt 0.2 and 0.1, respectively ( is the channel width). The aberrancy angle distribution of vessels accepts maximum I distribution model, and its distribution parameters can be taken as 0.314 and 4.354. The velocity distribution of up-bound and down-bound vessels can also be expressed by the normal distribution model.

关键词： vessel-bridge collision probabilistic model parameter statistics

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人工智能与统计分析 Perspective

Bin YU, Karl KUMBIER

《信息与电子工程前沿（英文）》 2018年第19卷第1期页码 6-9 doi: 10.1631/FITEE.1700813

摘要：人工智能（artificial intelligence, AI）本质上是由数据驱动的。在其通过人机协作完成数据生成、算法开发与结果评估的任务中，需要应用许多统计概念。本文讨论了如何通过数据产生、兴趣问题探究、训练数据代表性和对结果审视等环节（Population, Question of interest, Representativeness of training data, Scrutiny of results, PQRS）来解决人机协作的问题。PQRS的工作流程为融合统计分析的思想与人类输入提供了一个概念框架。这些统计分析的思想包括通过随机化、局部控制以及稳定性的原则来获得算法和结果的可重复性与可解释性。我们讨论了这些原则在自动驾驶、自动医疗以及作者其他合作研究中的应用。

关键词：人工智能；统计；人机协作

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Application of Cu nanoparticles as N32 base oil additives

Qiang HE, Jun YE, Hongzhao LIU, Jinling LI,

《机械工程前沿（英文）》 2010年第5卷第1期页码 93-97 doi: 10.1007/s11465-009-0083-0

摘要： Cu nanoparticles as N32 base oil additives are studied in the paper and their structure is characterized by transmission electron microscopy (TEM) and X-ray powder diffraction spectroscopy (XRD). The widely used steel-steel friction system is chosen to test the feasibility and practicality of Cu nanoparticles as bearing lubricant additives. The results show that N32 base oil with 0.5% Cu nanoparticle can improve the test sample contact fatigue life than pure N32 base oil.

关键词： Cu nanoparticle tribological property contact fatigue weibull distribution

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我国地震预测成绩的回顾与统计

高建国

《中国工程科学》 2009年第11卷第6期页码 129-131

摘要：

地震预测预报的难度大，但并非了无痕迹或不可知，我国每次较大的地震都有案例总结。统计表明，近４０年来，有７７次地震在发生前均有中期、短期甚至临震预测，不能因为汶川地震预测的失败，就全面抹杀中国的地震预报成绩，即我国的地震预测成绩是应予肯定的，汶川地震也并非是无前兆的“怪震”。

关键词：地震地震预测中国近30 多年的地震预报统计

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Techno-economic evaluation of wind energy in southwest Nigeria

Muyiwa S. ADARAMOLA, Olarenwaju M. OYEWOLA, Olayinka S. OHUNAKIN, Rufus R. DINRIFO

《能源前沿（英文）》 2012年第6卷第4期页码 366-378 doi: 10.1007/s11708-012-0205-y

摘要： In this study, an analysis of the wind energy potential in the southwest geo-political region of Nigeria was conducted. A 37-year (1971–2007) wind speed data set measured at 10 m height, obtained from eight meteorological stations within the region was analyzed using a 2-parameter Weibull function. Besides, a techno-economic evaluation of large wind energy conversion systems with power ratings ranging from 0.6 to 2 MW at different hub heights based on the levelized unit cost of electricity was made for the different sites considered. The result showed that electricity cost varied from 0.06997 and 0.11195 $/(kW·h) to 2.86611 and 4.58578 $/(kW·h) at limit values of turbine specific cost band intervals of 1000 and 1600 $/kW. It was further shown that Lagos, having the highest accumulated power outputs of 430.10 kW/a from DeWind D7 at 70 m hub height, is the most preferred for economically usable power generation in terms of the levelized unit cost.

关键词： mean wind speed Weibull distributions wind turbine techno-economic analysis southwest geopolitical region Nigeria

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Performance and kinetics of iron-based oxygen carriers reduced by carbon monoxide for chemical looping combustion

Xiuning HUA,Wei WANG,Feng WANG

《环境科学与工程前沿（英文）》 2015年第9卷第6期页码 1130-1138 doi: 10.1007/s11783-015-0821-y

摘要： Chemical looping combustion is a promising technology for energy conversion due to its low-carbon, high-efficiency, and environmental-friendly feature. A vital issue for CLC process is the development of oxygen carrier, since it must have sufficient reactivity. The mechanism and kinetics of CO reduction on iron-based oxygen carriers namely pure Fe O and Fe O supported by alumina (Fe O /Al O ) were investigated using thermo-gravimetric analysis. Fe O /Al O showed better reactivity over bare Fe O toward CO reduction. This was well supported by the observed higher rate constant for Fe O /Al O over pure Fe O with respective activation energy of 41.1±2.0 and 33.3±0.8 kJ·mol . The proposed models were compared via statistical approach comprising Akaike information criterion with correction coupled with F-test. The phase-boundary reaction and diffusion control models approximated to 95% confidence level along with scanning electron microscopy results; revealed the promising reduction reactions of pure Fe O and Fe O /Al O . The boosting recital of iron-based oxygen carrier support toward efficient chemical looping combustion could be explained accurately through the present study.

关键词： chemical looping combustion iron-based oxygen carriers reduction kinetics carbon monoxide statistics